Tag:
stagflation
Economy
Europe Was Told the Energy Crisis Would Be Targeted and Temporary. The Commission Just Blocked the Only Tool That Could Make It So.
Dombrovskis warned of a stagflationary shock that could cut EU growth by 0.6pp. Hours later the Commission blocked the fiscal escape clause. G7 meets Monday.
Economy
Four Central Banks Froze Rates in 48 Hours. The Easing Cycle Did Not Survive the Third Week of War.
The Fed, BoE, ECB and BOJ all froze rates within 24 hours. The BoE voted 9-0 for the first time since 2021. Markets now price hikes, not cuts. The cycle is over.
Economy
Eurozone Industrial Output Just Fell for the Second Straight Month. The Energy Shock Has Not Even Landed Yet.
Eurozone industrial output fell 1.2% year-on-year in January as Goldman cut growth to 1%. The ZEW crashed 58.8 points. The energy shock has barely started.
Stocks
The S&P Hit a 2026 Low. The Equal-Weight Version Is Up 3%. Those Are Two Very Different Stories.
S&P 500 hit a 2026 low at 6,632. Adobe lost 8.85% after its CEO of 18 years resigned. But the equal-weight S&P is up 3% YTD. Here's what's actually moving.
Americas
DXY Topped 100. The Dollar Isn’t Strong. It’s Just the Last Man Standing.
DXY crossed 100 on Friday. EUR/USD is at 1.1457, USD/JPY at 158, and Q4 GDP was just revised to 0.7% as core PCE hit 3.1%. Here's what's driving the dollar and what breaks the trade.
Crypto
The S&P 500 Just Had Its Worst Session of the Year. Bitcoin Is at a Weekly High.
Bitcoin hit a weekly high near $72,000 as the S&P 500 posted its worst session of 2026. Strategy bought the dip. ETF inflows reversed. The fiat debasement trade is back.
Commodities
Brent Closed Above $100 for the First Time Since August 2022.
Brent settled at $100.46 on Thursday, its first close above $100 since August 2022. Iran's new supreme leader vowed to keep Hormuz closed. The Fed is frozen. Here's what actually matters.
Americas
Oil Touched $120 and Crashed to $86 in the Same Session. Here’s What Actually Changed.
Brent hit $119.50 and crashed to $86 in the same session. Trump said the war is "very complete." Iran said that's nonsense. Here's what the curve is pricing.
