India’s Central Bank Held Rates at 5.25 Percent. Then Brent Crashed 16 Percent

RBI kept repo at 5.25% on April 8. Forecasts assumed $120 oil and Hormuz disruption. Brent crashed 16% hours later. GDP cut to 6.9%, rupee at record 95.22.
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India’s Central Bank Held Rates at 5.25 Percent. Then Brent Crashed 16 Percent

RBI kept repo at 5.25% on April 8. Forecasts assumed $120 oil and Hormuz disruption. Brent crashed 16% hours later. GDP cut to 6.9%, rupee at record 95.22.

The Islamabad Talks Failed. Here Is What That Actually Means for the Economy.

Islamabad talks collapsed. Trump ordered a Hormuz blockade. Here is what the breakdown means for oil prices, the Federal Reserve and Monday's bank earnings season.

The Nikkei Hit a Record High. The Stock That Got It There Sells Air Conditioners

Elliott took a 3% stake in Daikin and demanded a ¥1 trillion buyback. The stock surged 14%. The Nikkei hit 59,518, a record. Japan's governance shift is real.

The STOXX 600 Lost 8 Percent in Five Weeks. The Recovery Trade Is Collateral Damage.

The STOXX 600 peaked at 628 on Feb 18. Five weeks later it sits at 575. Goldman forecast 8% returns. Lagarde says markets are too optimistic. What happened.

Apollo Told Investors They Can Have 45 Cents. The Other 55 Cents Are Stuck Inside a War.

Apollo's $14.5 billion private credit fund received $1.5 billion in redemption requests. It will pay out $730 million. The gate is now the story for the entire sector.

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EUR/USD Lost Four Cents in Two Months. The ECB Just Told You It Cannot Get Them Back.

EUR/USD at 1.1506, down from 1.2016 in January. ECB revised inflation to 2.6% and growth to 0.9%. The euro is pricing stagflation. Here is what it means for your book.

Three Americas Currencies. Three Unrelated Bets. Zero Overlap.

CAD is a petro-hedge. MXN carry depends on Hormuz reopening in 60 days. BRL is an October election option. Running all three as a basket kills the edge.

USOR token launched on Solana claiming oil reserve backing. It surged 400,000%, then crashed 90%

USOR token launched on Solana claiming oil reserve backing. It surged 400,000%, then crashed 90% when the February 1 rollout revealed no physical oil. Here is what went wrong.

Bitcoin Closes Q1 Down 47 Percent. Fear Is at 11. FTX Just Released $2.2 Billion.

Bitcoin ends Q1 at $67K, down 47% from ATH. Fear & Greed at 11. FTX pays $2.2B today. BTC ETFs saw $2.5B March inflows but $296M outflow in final week.

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