Americas

EUR/USD fell to $1.156 as oil topped $100 and the ECB was repriced from cuts to hikes in a week. The pair is now caught between dollar safe-haven bids and ECB hawkishness, both driven by the same Iran shock.

US CPI held at 2.4% in February 2026, in line with forecasts. But the clean data precedes an oil shock from the Iran war that analysts warn will reshape the March and April readings and the Fed's rate path.

Brent hit $119.50 and crashed to $86 in the same session. Trump said the war is "very complete." Iran said that's nonsense. Here's what the curve is pricing.

US gasoline hit $3.41, up 14% in a week. Diesel surged 15.3%. The biggest weekly pump price jump since Russia invaded Ukraine. And the strait is still closed.

Trump convened 12 Latin American leaders in Miami. Brazil and Mexico stayed home. China's $518B regional trade explains why the absence list matters most.

Kraken Financial just became the first crypto company with a Federal Reserve master account. Direct Fedwire access. No middleman bank. Five years in the making.

Kazakhstan's central bank is allocating $350M from reserves into crypto-linked assets starting April. Not seized coins. Actual sovereign capital.

Brent hit $85.85 — a 52-week high. Oil posted its biggest weekly gain since Russia invaded Ukraine. But this time the supply isn't rerouted. It's trapped.