Urea jumped 50% since the Iran war began. Europe's spring planting season is running out of nitrogen. The fertilizer shock hasn't hit food prices yet. It will.
The IEA used a third of its emergency reserves in March. Six European countries fell below the 90-day floor. Islamabad collapsed. There is no second release at this scale.
Brent at $103. WTI at $96. Physical Dubai crude is trading $38 above its paper price. One tanker crossed Hormuz on Monday. The pre-war average was 24 per day.
US gasoline hit $3.41, up 14% in a week. Diesel surged 15.3%. The biggest weekly pump price jump since Russia invaded Ukraine. And the strait is still closed.
Iranian Shahed-136 drone hits Saudi Aramco's Ras Tanura refinery, shutting 550,000 bpd. Brent surges 9% past $79. First strike on Gulf energy infrastructure.
Brent crude hits $71.33 six-month high on Trump's 10-day Iran deadline as SCOTUS strikes down tariff regime and EIA reports a 9-million-barrel inventory draw.